Many traders were known to have called the election clerks for live turnout data. Or sometimes they post the data themselves. Unlikely that a manipulation campaign works at all.
Yeah agreed. I think especially when real data starts to come in the market will correct insanely fast. There is more uncertainty, rumor, and speculation before polls close, but even there I wouldn’t expect manipulations to work in the long run.
Would love to collect more stories about the most interesting data collections or debunking expert traders have done!
Wow yes hadn’t seen this. Very interesting. I didn’t realize there are traders specializing in different kinds of political markets but it makes sense!
Many traders were known to have called the election clerks for live turnout data. Or sometimes they post the data themselves. Unlikely that a manipulation campaign works at all.
Yeah agreed. I think especially when real data starts to come in the market will correct insanely fast. There is more uncertainty, rumor, and speculation before polls close, but even there I wouldn’t expect manipulations to work in the long run.
Would love to collect more stories about the most interesting data collections or debunking expert traders have done!
The mention markets specialists are quite interesting, a lot have their own database or spreadsheet, something like https://demo.mentionmarkets.com/
Wow yes hadn’t seen this. Very interesting. I didn’t realize there are traders specializing in different kinds of political markets but it makes sense!